the Contrary ThinkerTM Strategy and Tactics.

Update April 22, 2026

Contrary Thinker has refined the timing map based on perceived risk as calculated by the algorithms used by the Chicago Board of Options Exchange. We were getting hints of that accuracy in 2024 and more so in 2025, and it seems to be giving us the accuracy that we're looking for thus far in 2026. Here's the perceived risk map for bitcoin that we find appropriate at the moment.

Confidence should be gained by any reversal from the price level that we forecasted, especially if the reversal is occurring after being knocked back by an intermediate-term resistance zone (as it can be seen on the following chart) and the trend is being reversed in our timing change a trend window.

The key caveat, is based on our earlier version of the January fractile, which shows buoyancy and price into May. However, that January old fractal stands alone with that. The new Fractile Map nicely fits with the support from the astrology we apply to the birth chart of bitcoin, its natal chart. So, there is nothing necessitating buoyancy into May. CT expects the bull market’s counter-trend exhausted itself going into the April 20th date, it should show its hand quickly, as is the nature of bitcoin. We made adjustments to the Annual Scenario Planner chart as shown below.

Regarding price The key price resistance level was predicted between 77,000 to 80,000, and minimum expectations have been hit at 77,000 on April 17th.

Coincidentally, a measured move projects 80,000 on BTC, and the price structure hit 79,515 today, add to that the daily model of our technical event volatility report reached panic buying just two days ago.

Entry and exit ideas listed precisely below.